A new report from insolvency firm MNP LTD. says more Canadians are facing a deteriorating debt situation, as high costs and elevated interest rates make it harder to pay the bills.
Having signed up for 6.1%, you’ve presumably budgeted so that you can actually pay it going forward at that rate. The problem for people who signed up at around 2% is that they budgeted to pay at that rate. And since a lot of people have no savings, they can’t afford a large rate increase now. So, when mortgage renewals start coming up, a lot of people are gonna end up being insolvent.
It’s great at keeping banks from collapsing, but terrible for the consumer.
But now we’re at the point where something has to give and the government is desperately trying to force the banks to not increase payments by increasing amortization periods, keeping cash on hand, and increasing their insurance…
You are screwed for sure if you shopped at the top of your approval range in one of the hotter high value markets or immediately ate up the rest of your GDS/TDS with truck/SUV loans, renovations or other expenses. However, There will be Canadians who are in a position to handle a rate increase from 2.3% to 6% or so, when their renewals come up.
The context here is that over half the population is 200 bucks away from not being able to make ends meet. So, clearly lots of people will not be able to handle large increases in mortgage payments. Meanwhile, those who do will be pushed further to the margins.
The mortgage stress test should have helped with this, but I also think banks took advantage of locking people into obscene debt that they realistically shouldn’t have been able to do. The evidence of that is new private mortgage insurance that all the banks favoured because the CMHC thought too many buyers were too risky.
Banks also took on a lot of correlated debt by turning a blind eye to buyers using leveraged assets to secure additional mortgages. Correlated debt is bad, it’s the thing that turns your risk analysis models into piles of dog shit.
I can’t imagine having to completely re-adjust your budget every 3 years, despite making a 30 year commitment and shelling out most or all of your life savings.
Just wait until all the people who got their mortgages at 1-2% start coming up for renewal at 6-7% next year.
That might be me. I just hope to all the gods that rates come down before renewal.
I signed on a 6.1% variable rate and I’m dreaming of the days when 2.5% was the norm
Having signed up for 6.1%, you’ve presumably budgeted so that you can actually pay it going forward at that rate. The problem for people who signed up at around 2% is that they budgeted to pay at that rate. And since a lot of people have no savings, they can’t afford a large rate increase now. So, when mortgage renewals start coming up, a lot of people are gonna end up being insolvent.
Why on earth would anyone sign an ARM when rates were lower than at any previous point in history?
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Wow, that’s ridiculous! So you have no idea what your mortgage is going to be from semi-decade to the next. Fucking crazy.
It’s great at keeping banks from collapsing, but terrible for the consumer.
But now we’re at the point where something has to give and the government is desperately trying to force the banks to not increase payments by increasing amortization periods, keeping cash on hand, and increasing their insurance…
even people who signed for a fixed rate are screwed when they have to renew though
You are screwed for sure if you shopped at the top of your approval range in one of the hotter high value markets or immediately ate up the rest of your GDS/TDS with truck/SUV loans, renovations or other expenses. However, There will be Canadians who are in a position to handle a rate increase from 2.3% to 6% or so, when their renewals come up.
The context here is that over half the population is 200 bucks away from not being able to make ends meet. So, clearly lots of people will not be able to handle large increases in mortgage payments. Meanwhile, those who do will be pushed further to the margins.
The mortgage stress test should have helped with this, but I also think banks took advantage of locking people into obscene debt that they realistically shouldn’t have been able to do. The evidence of that is new private mortgage insurance that all the banks favoured because the CMHC thought too many buyers were too risky.
Banks also took on a lot of correlated debt by turning a blind eye to buyers using leveraged assets to secure additional mortgages. Correlated debt is bad, it’s the thing that turns your risk analysis models into piles of dog shit.
The fault is entirely with the government for failing to regulate banks predatory practices.
We don’t have to renew in the USA. Someone else explained the way they work in Canada and yeesh! That’s hella lame.
Yeah, I was talking with a friend in US about this and he was absolutely shocked that you have to renew the mortgage every 3 years of so in Canada.
I can’t imagine having to completely re-adjust your budget every 3 years, despite making a 30 year commitment and shelling out most or all of your life savings.
it’s a completely nonsensical system