according to the polls the country will have 3 main parties in a hung parliament: DPP, KMT and as a minor but still relevant party, the TPP acting as kingmaker. Lai (DPP) will be elected president.
My questions about the hung parliament:
Will KMT and TPP form a conservative alliance, or is it more realistic to believe DPP and TPP will sign a 4 year agreement?
I consider the TPP a bunch of opportunists, but this opportunism in a hung parliament means they can form an alliance with whoever they want. All they have to do is party shopping and ask both main parties: we got this seats that give your party a majority. What are you going to give us in exchange?
If party coalitions are something foreign to Taiwan, do you consider it feasible for any meaningful legislation to be passed in the next 4 years? I don’t see how: laws passed by the legislature would be vetoed by the president. Only minimal changes to current laws or laws with a very ample consensus would be possible, meaning nothing meaningful.
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