• 0 Posts
  • 11 Comments
Joined 11 months ago
cake
Cake day: January 1st, 2024

help-circle






  • IMO, too far out for this discussion to matter. Our primitive chemical rockets are absolutely nowhere close to facilitating routine trips to the asteroid belt, and we probably won’t get the sort of rocket technology that would, for at least decades, so that’s around late 2040’s (very optimistically), to 2050s at the earliest / 2060s? Yeah, very far out.

    I’ve noticed that a lot of the things debated about in futurist circles are either a very long time away, or probably beyond our lifetimes. It’s a shame.





  • Holy shit, finally someone else who gets what i’m saying!

    I completely agree. Moore’s law is dead, photonic computing and graphene transistors (which i’ve heard are set to replace it) probably won’t be here for a while, i agree that tech has slowed down, and overall, things are not looking good.

    I am very scared of the possibility of a long period of slow, incremental growth. But unfortunately, i think deep down i know it’s a very real possibility. The world of 2030 may look pretty much the same as today, with 2040 not looking much different than that.

    I’m a former singularitarian,

    I’m glad to see that a former singularitarian has seen the truth. While i wasn’t too deep into the Kurzweil Koolaid, i did at one point think that we were getting AGI in a matter of a couple decades. With the slowdown of computing progress, that clearly isn’t happening.