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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • The economics of the country is fundamentally fucked. Migrants aren’t “paying their way”, they’re “being exploited for profit and then disposed of”. Legal status is used as a qualifier for the right to minimum wage, to organize, and access to permanent property. When you can criminalize an employee for their place of birth, you can drastically renegotiate the terms and conditions of employment.

    Add to the math how Mexico’s current national government has taken a hard left term. The AMLO government dramatically reformed labor relations, boosted domestic income, and improved housing and mass transit in the poorer states. His successor is going full New Deal on the Mexican economy, boosting employment and raising the standards of living with international trade across the Pacific.

    Increasingly, people just south of the border don’t want to come to the US, which means we’ve had to turn to nations like Haiti and Venezuela and El Salvador to offset or demand for dirt cheap “illegal” migrant labor. Because these migrants can’t legally afford to travel, they’re being moved under financial schemes that treat them as indentured servants.

    Close to Slavery: Guestworker Programs in the United States

    From 2013, but the conditions have only grown more extreme. In my home town of Houston, you’ll meet people who have effectively been trafficked working in restaurants and as part of cleaning services in hotels and out in the fields or deep within warehouses doing “the work Americans don’t want to do”. People who have their documentation seized and held as condition for repayment of debts. People who have loved ones effectively held hostage by their employers. People who recognize ICE as a tool of the employer to break up labor revolts and trap employees in jobs they want to quit.

    Migrants aren’t paying anything. They’re being robbed at gunpoint.









  • They’re really just basic input output mechanisms.

    I mean, I’d argue they’re highly complex I/O mechanisms, which is how you get weird hallucinations that developers can’t easily explain.

    But expecting cognition out of a graph is like demanding novelty out of a plinko machine. Not only do you get out what you get in, but you get a very statistically well-determined output. That’s the whole point. The LLM isn’t supposed to be doing high level cognitive extrapolations. It’s supposed to be doing statistical aggregates on word association using a natural language schema.








  • the things it gets wrong are significant enough that no sane individual should rely on anything that AI is involved with making/running

    The fundamental use-cases for AI are almost never customer oriented, either. You don’t see these tools deployed to reduce wait times or improve authentication or approve access, because the people who deploy them don’t actually trust them to do positive scope client interactions. What you see them doing is robo-calls, front-line customer service, claims denials, and (in the bleakest use cases) military targeting operations. Instances where efficiencies of scale accrue to the operator and an error/problems rebounds to the target of the service rather than the vendor.

    People are effectively getting wowed by a glorified ELIZA chat bot.

    An ELIZA chatbot that double-processes your credit card and then keeps denying you a refund when you manually catch and report it.


  • “Oh but I couldn’t do anything about it!” is the modern Democratic battle cry.

    Just look at the fucking Gaza Genocide. Biden dithers for 13 months on a deal that’s nearly identical to the one Trump inevitably prompted. Trump immediately gets what he wants by putting the slightest pressure on Netanyahu, because he recognizes that this conflict is holding up initiatives his party wants (namely Saudi recognition of Israel into the Middle Eastern trading cartels).

    All those people screaming about how “Trump Will Be Worse! You stupid Palestinian Midwesterners deserve the genocide your families will get for not supporting Haris!” and the bombs stop the day Trump takes office. How are these people going to respond to the next Democrat who runs for office, I wonder?




  • The craft brew movement was great right up until it got a bit too successful. Now a bunch of the indies have been gobbled up. Anheuser-Busch InBev has bought up Goose Island, Elysian, Devils Backbone, and Karbach, just to name a few of note.

    Sapporo famously bought up century-old Anchor Brewery during COVID, tried to convert their steam-beer brewing equipment into Japanese style production, failed, and ended up shuttering the plant.

    Then you’ve got the Sam Adams and Coors success stories, which ultimately ended up becoming more of the same big labels. If you’ve ever actually been to Boston or Denver, you can still get the more traditionally made beers and they’re miles ahead of the generic crap distributed nationally.