nifty@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world · 3 months agoNate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecastwww.msn.comexternal-linkmessage-square160fedilinkarrow-up1238
arrow-up1238external-linkNate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecastwww.msn.comnifty@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world · 3 months agomessage-square160fedilink
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·edit-23 months ago He said Trump had a 28% chance of winning, and Trump won. So he was also “right.” Do you see now why what you’re saying is incorrect? Suppose I said Trump had a 72% chance of winning the same election, which Trump won. Am I also “right”? If so, how can it be that Trump has a 28% chance of winning and a 72% chance of winning? If not, why is he right instead of me?
Suppose I said Trump had a 72% chance of winning the same election, which Trump won. Am I also “right”?
If so, how can it be that Trump has a 28% chance of winning and a 72% chance of winning?
If not, why is he right instead of me?