• OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
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      2 months ago

      No, the same which is the same for the candidate you prefer. The chances only change if you vote for them or for their opponent. It is objectively, mathematically false to say that the chances change when you do nothing, it’s not even a coherent statement, doing nothing by definition changes nothing.

      • Communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz
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        2 months ago

        and the same is a lower chance for the candidate you prefer than if you had voted for them.

        How are you confused by this???

        if you vote for kamala

        +1 chance for kamala

        if you do not vote

        +0 chance for kamala

        If trump is an option, and you didn’t increase the chance for kamala, you have increased the chance for trump

        • OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
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          2 months ago

          Than if you had voted for them. You didn’t say that before. When you don’t specify that, the statement is false.

          Relative to a baseline of starting nuclear war, I stopped a nuclear war today. That doesn’t mean that I actually stopped a nuclear war in an absolute sense, or relative to doing nothing. If I went around telling people I stopped a nuclear war, I’d be lying. In the same way, it’s false to say that not voting is “helping” Trump, unless you specify that you mean relative to doing something that hurts Trump.

          If trump is an option, and you didn’t increase the chance for kamala, you have increased the chance for trump

          For example, this is false.

          if you do not vote

          +0 chance for kamala

          There you go, you just said it yourself. Neither an increase nor a decrease.

          • Communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz
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            2 months ago

            Neither an increase nor a decrease.

            how do you not understand that neither an increase or a decrease, when there are two choices, is equivalent to a neutral vote, and therefore you are increasing the odds of the side that you don’t want to win, than if you had voted for the side you do want to win.

            How is this so complex for you? I am genuinely baffled.

            • OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
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              2 months ago

              It’s not at all complex, and I am not confused by it. You are just obviously and objectively wrong.

              than if you had voted for the side you do want to win.

              Of course, as long as you specify that, then you are correct. In the same way it’s correct to say that I stopped a nuclear war today compared to if I had started one. But it is incorrect to say that I stopped a nuclear war with no disclaimer about what I’m comparing it to, and it is incorrect for you to claim that I’m helping Trump by not voting for Kamala with no disclaimer about where you are setting the baseline.

              In an objective sense, I am not helping Trump. I am only helping him relative to if I were going to vote for Kamala (which I wasn’t).

              It would be much clearer to simply say, “You are failing to take an opportunity to increase Kamala’s chances and decrease Trump’s,” which is 100% true. But you can’t accept that, because that’s using language in a way that’s actually fair and accurate. Instead, you’d rather make the dishonest, false accusation that I’m not merely failing to hurt Trump, but actively helping him. And then you call me names and say I’m “confused” and too dumb to understand when I call out your dishonesty and manipulative use of language.

              • Rhoeri@lemmy.world
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                2 months ago

                and I am not confused by it.

                NARRATOR: They were incredibly confused by it.

              • Communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz
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                2 months ago

                You are failing to take an opportunity to increase Kamala’s chances and decrease Trump’s

                that is literally the exact same thing. By not increasing kamalas chances, you have increased trumps chances.

                I do not understand how you are confused by this. At this point I have to just accept that there is just something wrong with your brain.

                • OBJECTION!@lemmy.ml
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                  2 months ago

                  Can I drain a pool of water by standing next to it with a hose that’s turned off? By not turning the water on, I am not increasing the amount of water in the pool, and according to you, not increasing is the same as decreasing, and it stands to reason that if I decrease the amount of water long enough, eventually there will be none left. That’s the logic you’re using and obviously it’s nonsense.

                  In the same way that standing next to a pool with the hose turned off does not increase or decrease the amount of water in the pool, not voting for Kamala or Trump does not increase or decrease their chances of winning.

                  This is extremely simple. You are being purposely obtuse in pretending otherwise.

                  • Communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz
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                    2 months ago

                    You are being purposely obtuse in pretending otherwise.

                    Your inaction will benefit trump. End of story.

                    If you don’t vote for kamala, and you support kamala more, you are helping trump.

                    There are three options:

                    1. +1 kamala
                    2. 0 kamala
                    3. +1 trump, which we will consider -1 for the purposes of this demonstration

                    Rank them by which benefits trump the most, and you discover that +1 for kamala is better for kamala and worse for trump.

                    The fact that you cannot understand this is insane. Your inaction is still a choice that benefits the party you least support, because if you had voted for the party you don’t least support, you’d be benefitting the party you support.

                    Even by your own example, not turning the water on will cause the pool to evaporate, which is not as bad as directly draining it, but still causing it to drain more than if you had done something to benefit it. Your inaction has consequences.