Lee Duna@lemmy.nz to News@lemmy.worldEnglish · 1 year agoEl Niño could unleash several '10-year flood events' this winter in cities such as Seattle and San Diegowww.livescience.comexternal-linkmessage-square9fedilinkarrow-up178
arrow-up178external-linkEl Niño could unleash several '10-year flood events' this winter in cities such as Seattle and San Diegowww.livescience.comLee Duna@lemmy.nz to News@lemmy.worldEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square9fedilink
minus-squarefoggy@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up26·1 year agoWe’re going to have to stop calling these floods out for how infrequent they "used* to be. That’s like saying something is on sale for 10% off all the time. It’s not on sale, it’s just the price. Vermont has had 2 “100 year flood” events in the last 15 years.
minus-squareWhatAmLemmy@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up8·1 year agoGrade them like earthquakes or hurricanes, based on the amount of energy &/or water released.
minus-squareantlion@lemmy.dbzer0.comlinkfedilinkarrow-up3·1 year agoThat’s the way it’s going but it will take some time before it’s mainstream. https://www.usgs.gov/media/images/atmospheric-river-rating-system-chart https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/
minus-squareantlion@lemmy.dbzer0.comlinkfedilinkarrow-up3·1 year agoA 100 year flood just means a 1% chance, or, in the 99th percentile of intensity. Say we had a coin toss, that’s the 2-year storm. You could easily get 2 or three of those in a row. But you’re correct that the climate is changing, and in many cases the statistics are not applicable to the current climate.
minus-squareMrNesser@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 year agoI vote they be called hyperactive water events
minus-squareEjh3k@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2·1 year agoI could get behind excessive water events.
We’re going to have to stop calling these floods out for how infrequent they "used* to be.
That’s like saying something is on sale for 10% off all the time. It’s not on sale, it’s just the price.
Vermont has had 2 “100 year flood” events in the last 15 years.
Grade them like earthquakes or hurricanes, based on the amount of energy &/or water released.
That’s the way it’s going but it will take some time before it’s mainstream.
https://www.usgs.gov/media/images/atmospheric-river-rating-system-chart
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/
A 100 year flood just means a 1% chance, or, in the 99th percentile of intensity.
Say we had a coin toss, that’s the 2-year storm. You could easily get 2 or three of those in a row.
But you’re correct that the climate is changing, and in many cases the statistics are not applicable to the current climate.
I vote they be called hyperactive water events
I could get behind excessive water events.