• afunkysongaday@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Really astonishing what kind of stories people come up with here…

    https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/murder-homicide-rate

    Look at “annual % change” for 2020/2021 and you should quickly realize that this “historic drop” is actually just a slow recline from the historic rise we just had.

    And the framing of this article is just as astonishing. The whole “does anyone even notice” spiel! Amazing.

    • figaro@lemdro.id
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      8 months ago

      Honestly wtf even is this article. The data is basically saying that it is still increasing, just slower than last year.

      • sushibowl@feddit.nl
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        8 months ago

        No, the article is talking about 2022 and 2023 statistics, where there is in fact a drop. The link posted in this comment only shows data up to 2021.

        Actually I don’t know why they didn’t just post the actual source used by the article itself which shows more recent data. Either way, the basic point stands that this “huge drop” is basically a reversion after a large increase in 2020-2021. Things are going “back to normal,” so it’s kind of stupid to pretend this is something we should all be looking at.

      • FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Reminds me of how the news media frames the deficit, like we’re supposed to celebrate when the government puts 1.2 trillion on debt in a year rather than 1.4.

    • Steeve@lemmy.ca
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      8 months ago

      And yet the top comment here is clearly someone who didn’t even click the link lol

  • LedgeDrop@lemm.ee
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    8 months ago

    Before we start to pat ourselves on the back: How does the number of murders in the U. S. compare to the rest of the world? This is really the only meaningful metric, otherwise it’s like a chain smoker congratulating themselves from dropping from 3 packs a day to 2.

    
    *"... there are lies, damn lies, and statistics." *
    
    *edit*: The link I posted referred to a high murder rate for U.S. Virgin Islands (not contential U.S.).  So, it's not relevant to the conversation. Thanks for calling me out on it. 
    
    • ryven@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      8 months ago

      Dropping from 3 packs a day to 2 is great progress, IMO? I’d congratulate someone on that.

      • theangryseal@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Well, no one else is so hit me with it.

        I’m lying. My mom said she was very proud of me she believes I can quit.

        • ryven@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          8 months ago

          Hey I’m super glad to hear you’re making a positive change. Quitting is tough, and it can be a long road. One day at a time. Congrats on your progress so far, I also believe you can do it!

    • FireTower@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      That source seems to be claiming that the US’s Virgin Islands is the 4th highest at 49 per cap. America overall averages closer to 7.

      • sushibowl@feddit.nl
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        8 months ago

        Yeah, seems the US is somewhere around 34th according to this source.

        Anyway, comparing murder rates between countries is generally fraught. Statistics tend to vary wildly even in different geographical areas, and the US is capital L Large. Rural and suburban US are often very competitive with other developed nations, but ghetto US is down in the gutter.

    • Aliendelarge@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Thats US Virgin Islands at 4th with a rate of 49.3. The source you provided shows the US has a homicide rate of 4.96. Its a little unclear if the source is using murder and homicide interchangeably or not.

  • pinkdrunkenelephants@lemmy.cafe
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    8 months ago

    They’re not. The article is just lying to you because they want to restore trust and faith in the system in people.

    Half of all murders went unsolved in 2020. Don’t forget that.

  • flipht@kbin.social
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    8 months ago

    The beginning of the drop in crime coincided with the “Broken Window” model of policing that new York and other large cities adopted. They like to claim credit.

    But it also dropped in small towns that didn’t have the same trendy police tactics.

    The best explanation I’ve seen is that abortion became protected, so miserable women weren’t forced to give birth in terrible conditions, and subsequently there weren’t as many impoverished, abused children that turned to crime.

    Guess we’ll find out in a few years as the unwanted pregnancies start to tick up and economic mobility continues to stagnate.

  • lightnsfw@reddthat.com
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    8 months ago

    Nope. Media will never allow that. Gotta keep us at each other’s throats so we don’t get our shit together and start holding politicians accountable.

  • WaxedWookie@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Not when the non-existent killings can be used to justify ramping up surveillance and control while justifying state violence.

    🌈Freedom

  • BlanketsWithSmallpox@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Crime did rise nationwide in 2020 and 2021. The disruption caused by a deadly pandemic, a record increase in the availability of guns, a pullback of policing in some cities and perhaps other factors combined to create a surge in homicides and other crimes.

    That national tide has started to recede, but public perception has not kept pace.

    The FBI’s annual report on the nation’s crime statistics showed a 6% decline in homicides in 2022. The drop exceeded what most crime experts expected, said Jeff Asher, a crime data analyst and consultant whose AH Datalytics’ site is a widely cited source of information.

    So we’ve seen a return to normal lol. That normal being a relatively low and mostly leveled off decline due to lead being removed from our diets lol.

    https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/ft_2022.10.31_violent-crime_02c.png

    https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/27/politics/uniform-crime-report-2020/index.html

    https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend

  • RaincoatsGeorge@lemmy.zip
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    8 months ago

    Violent crime is a fraction of what it was in the 70s and 80s. But that’s not really the issue here. Yes the media is using violence and fear to push page views, but the argument that’s being made is that solely because of this somehow it justifies firearm ownership and the cult of firearms that exists in this country. Every mass shooting someone somewhere will mention the historically low violent crime rates as if that wipes away the over 500 mass shootings so far this year and the 8 percent increase in mass shootings since 2020.

    Sorry but no. Not the duck that people think it is. Not a good enough excuse. We still have a very real problem and if certain individuals can’t pull their head out of their ass and start working to find real solutions then those people are going to get voted the fuck out and adults will be put in their place who will get the job done. It’s that simple.

  • MeanEYE@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    This title sounds like they are disappointed and are calling people to keep up with killings.

  • Dagwood222@lemm.ee
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    8 months ago

    In a sane world, cops would be boasting about what a great job they are doing. In this timeline, they know that scared people will vote for increases in police budgets.

    • Dem Bosain@midwest.social
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      8 months ago

      But, they defunded* all the police, so if they admit the murder rate is down, they’re afraid they’ll get defunded* even further. Must continue to scream about high crime rates to get that sweet, sweet money.

      *I know they didn’t defund the police.

    • Quereller@lemmy.one
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      8 months ago

      The AR-16 was released in the late 50’s. (As a cheaper, easier to produce weapon than the AR-10)

    • 5in1k@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      That would be the AR looking gun made out of a converted Mac-10 lower so it’s legally full auto.

    • PsychedSy@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      There was a time mass shootings were done almost entirely by white kids. The definition includes a lot of gang shootings now.

      • tocopherol@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        8 months ago

        Do you understand how racist that sort of comment comes across as? You probably don’t mean it like that, but you know there are white gangs too.

        • PsychedSy@sh.itjust.works
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          8 months ago

          I’m not going to put an essay about historical racism or housing policies in a comment about gun violence. Might as well have called me out for saying mass shooters (in the colloquial sense) are white. I can’t change reality - they statistically are white.